Wednesday, December 22, 2004

Interview with Thomas Barnett

Worldchanging has published an interview with Prof. Thomas P.M. Barnett, Senior Strategic Researcher at the U.S. Naval War College. He's the author of a new book called "The Pentagon's New Map: War and Peace in the Twenty-First Century". Makes for very interesting reading, and he does get a few points right!

Now, I should note that it doesn't mean that terrorism comes from one or the other, because terrorism seems to be related less to poverty than to a sense of diminished expectations. It tends to be people who know there's a better life, know they could get a better life because they have the skills and drive, but are prevented from having that better life. Terrorists tend to be middle-class, fairly educated, fairly smart people. Just because people are poor doesn't mean that they'll become terrorists.

As India and China become such big players in the global economy, the old charge that globalization equals Americanization is disappearing. In ten years people are going to see an economy that is as dominated by China, India and Brazil as it is by the EU or US. There are a variety of different rule sets competing here, and the globalization we have today will not be what we have in a decade. But the conflict isn't fought by massed armies on the battlefield, it's fought in huge bureaucratic conferences like the World Trade Organization. That's a positive process.

The complete interview is here


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